Als DevOps-Ingenieur bei einer Krypto-Trading-Firma habe ich in den letzten drei Jahren über 200.000 US-Dollar an Verlusten durch unentdeckte API-Ausfälle erlebt. Ein einziger 4-Stunden-Ausfall der Binance-API kostete uns damals 47.000 Dollar in verpassten Arbitrage-Chancen. In diesem Tutorial zeige ich Ihnen, wie Sie ein robustes Monitoring-System bauen, das Sie in Echtzeit über API-Anomalien informiert – mit HolySheep AI als intelligentes Backend für Alarmierung und Vorhersage.

Warum API-Monitoring für Krypto-Börsen kritisch ist

Kryptowährungs-Börsen-APIs unterscheiden sich grundlegend von normalen REST-APIs:

Architektur des Überwachungssystems

Unser System besteht aus fünf Komponenten: Collector, Analyzer, Predictor, Alerter und Dashboard. HolySheep AI übernimmt die Rolle des Predictors – nutzt also GPT-4.1 oder Claude Sonnet 4.5, um Muster in Ihren API-Metriken zu erkennen und Anomalien vorherzusagen, bevor sie auftreten.

1. Basis-API-Collector implementieren

Der Collector sendet kontinuierlich Health-Checks an die Börsen-APIs und misst Latenz, Erfolgsquote und Antwortqualität. Hier ein vollständiges Python-Skript:

#!/usr/bin/env python3
"""
Crypto Exchange API Health Monitor
misst Latenz, Erfolgsrate und Rate-Limit-Status in Echtzeit
"""

import asyncio
import aiohttp
import time
import json
from dataclasses import dataclass, asdict
from typing import Dict, List, Optional
from datetime import datetime
import redis.asyncio as redis

@dataclass
class APIMetrics:
    exchange: str
    endpoint: str
    timestamp: datetime
    latency_ms: float
    status_code: int
    success: bool
    error_message: Optional[str] = None
    rate_limit_remaining: Optional[int] = None

class CryptoAPICollector:
    def __init__(self, redis_url: str = "redis://localhost:6379"):
        self.redis = redis.from_url(redis_url)
        self.exchanges = {
            "binance": {
                "base_url": "https://api.binance.com",
                "endpoints": ["/api/v3/ping", "/api/v3/time", "/api/v3/exchangeInfo"],
                "weights_per_request": 1
            },
            "coinbase": {
                "base_url": "https://api.exchange.coinbase.com",
                "endpoints": ["/time", "/products/BTC-USD/book", "/products"],
                "weights_per_request": 1
            },
            "kraken": {
                "base_url": "https://api.kraken.com",
                "endpoints": ["/0/public/Time", "/0/public/Assets", "/0/public/Ticker?pair=XBTUSD"],
                "weights_per_request": 1
            }
        }
    
    async def check_endpoint(
        self, 
        session: aiohttp.ClientSession, 
        exchange: str, 
        endpoint: str
    ) -> APIMetrics:
        base_url = self.exchanges[exchange]["base_url"]
        url = f"{base_url}{endpoint}"
        start = time.perf_counter()
        
        try:
            async with session.get(url, timeout=aiohttp.ClientTimeout(total=10)) as response:
                latency = (time.perf_counter() - start) * 1000
                remaining = response.headers.get("X-MBX-Used-Weight-1m", 
                                                 response.headers.get("CB-ACCESS", "N/A"))
                
                return APIMetrics(
                    exchange=exchange,
                    endpoint=endpoint,
                    timestamp=datetime.utcnow(),
                    latency_ms=round(latency, 2),
                    status_code=response.status,
                    success=response.status == 200,
                    rate_limit_remaining=int(remaining) if remaining.isdigit() else None
                )
        except aiohttp.ClientError as e:
            latency = (time.perf_counter() - start) * 1000
            return APIMetrics(
                exchange=exchange,
                endpoint=endpoint,
                timestamp=datetime.utcnow(),
                latency_ms=round(latency, 2),
                status_code=0,
                success=False,
                error_message=str(e)
            )
    
    async def collect_metrics(self) -> List[APIMetrics]:
        """Sammelt Metriken von allen Börsen parallel"""
        async with aiohttp.ClientSession() as session:
            tasks = []
            for exchange, config in self.exchanges.items():
                for endpoint in config["endpoints"]:
                    tasks.append(self.check_endpoint(session, exchange, endpoint))
            
            results = await asyncio.gather(*tasks)
            return [r for r in results if r is not None]
    
    async def store_metrics(self, metrics: List[APIMetrics]):
        """Speichert Metriken in Redis für spätere Analyse"""
        for m in metrics:
            key = f"metrics:{m.exchange}:{int(m.timestamp.timestamp())}"
            await self.redis.lpush(key, json.dumps(asdict(m)))
            await self.redis.expire(key, 86400)  # 24h TTL
    
    async def run(self, interval: int = 30):
        """Hauptschleife: sammelt alle interval Sekunden Metriken"""
        while True:
            metrics = await self.collect_metrics()
            await self.store_metrics(metrics)
            print(f"[{datetime.now().isoformat()}] Gesammelt: {len(metrics)} Metriken")
            await asyncio.sleep(interval)

if __name__ == "__main__":
    collector = CryptoAPICollector()
    asyncio.run(collector.run(interval=30))

2. Intelligente Anomalieerkennung mit HolySheep AI

Der Collector liefert Rohdaten. Jetzt brauchen wir einen Analyzer, der mit HolySheep AI Anomalien erkennt. Das Besondere: HolySheep bietet <50ms Latenz bei API-Aufrufen und unterstützt GPT-4.1 ($8/MToken), Claude Sonnet 4.5 ($15/MToken) und DeepSeek V3.2 ($0.42/MToken) – perfekt für kosteneffiziente Echtzeitanalyse.

#!/usr/bin/env python3
"""
Anomaly Detector mit HolySheep AI
Analysiert API-Metriken und erkennt Anomalien mit ML + LLM-Hilfe
"""

import asyncio
import json
import redis.asyncio as redis
from typing import Dict, List, Tuple
from datetime import datetime, timedelta
import statistics

HolySheep AI Configuration

HOLYSHEEP_BASE_URL = "https://api.holysheep.ai/v1" class AnomalyDetector: def __init__(self, holysheep_api_key: str, redis_url: str = "redis://localhost:6379"): self.redis = redis.from_url(redis_url) self.holysheep_key = holysheep_api_key self.thresholds = { "latency_p95_ms": 500, # 95th percentile Latenz "error_rate": 0.05, # 5% Fehlerrate "consecutive_failures": 3 # 3 aufeinanderfolgende Fehler } async def get_historical_metrics(self, exchange: str, minutes: int = 60) -> List[Dict]: """Lädt historische Metriken aus Redis""" cutoff = datetime.utcnow() - timedelta(minutes=minutes) cutoff_ts = int(cutoff.timestamp()) metrics = [] async for key in self.redis.scan_iter(f"metrics:{exchange}:*"): ts = int(key.split(":")[-1]) if ts >= cutoff_ts: data = await self.redis.lrange(key, 0, -1) for item in data: metrics.append(json.loads(item)) return metrics async def calculate_baseline(self, metrics: List[Dict]) -> Dict: """Berechnet Baseline-Statistiken""" if not metrics: return {"latency_avg": 100, "latency_std": 20, "error_rate": 0.01} latencies = [m["latency_ms"] for m in metrics if m["success"]] errors = [1 for m in metrics if not m["success"]] return { "latency_avg": statistics.mean(latencies) if latencies else 100, "latency_std": statistics.stdev(latencies) if len(latencies) > 1 else 20, "latency_p95": sorted(latencies)[int(len(latencies) * 0.95)] if latencies else 200, "error_rate": len(errors) / len(metrics) if metrics else 0 } async def detect_anomalies(self, exchange: str) -> List[Dict]: """Erkennt Anomalien basierend auf Statistiken""" metrics = await self.get_historical_metrics(exchange, minutes=30) baseline = await self.calculate_baseline(metrics) anomalies = [] for metric in metrics[-10:]: # Letzte 10 Metriken prüfen # Latenz-Anomalie if metric["latency_ms"] > baseline["latency_avg"] + 3 * baseline["latency_std"]: anomalies.append({ "type": "high_latency", "severity": "warning", "exchange": exchange, "endpoint": metric["endpoint"], "current_value": metric["latency_ms"], "baseline": baseline["latency_avg"], "message": f"Latenz {metric['latency_ms']}ms überschreitet Baseline {baseline['latency_avg']:.1f}ms" }) # Fehler-Anomalie if not metric["success"]: errors_key = f"consecutive_errors:{exchange}:{metric['endpoint']}" error_count = await self.redis.incr(errors_key) await self.redis.expire(errors_key, 300) if error_count >= self.thresholds["consecutive_failures"]: anomalies.append({ "type": "consecutive_errors", "severity": "critical", "exchange": exchange, "endpoint": metric["endpoint"], "error_count": error_count, "message": f"{error_count} aufeinanderfolgende Fehler bei {metric['endpoint']}" }) return anomalies async def analyze_with_llm(self, anomalies: List[Dict], context: Dict) -> str: """Nutzt HolySheep AI für tiefere Anomalie-Analyse""" prompt = f""" Analysiere die folgenden API-Anomalien für Krypto-Börsen: Anomalien: {json.dumps(anomalies, indent=2)} Kontext: - Gesamte Metriken: {context.get('total_metrics', 0)} - Analysezeitpunkt: {datetime.utcnow().isoformat()} - Letzte Wartung: {context.get('last_maintenance', 'unbekannt')} Erkläre: 1. Wahrscheinliche Ursache jeder Anomalie 2. Empfohlene sofortige Aktionen 3. Ob dies ein Muster ist oder isolierter Vorfall Antworte auf Deutsch, max 200 Wörter. """ import aiohttp async with aiohttp.ClientSession() as session: async with session.post( f"{HOLYSHEEP_BASE_URL}/chat/completions", headers={ "Authorization": f"Bearer {self.holysheep_key}", "Content-Type": "application/json" }, json={ "model": "gpt-4.1", "messages": [{"role": "user", "content": prompt}], "max_tokens": 300, "temperature": 0.3 } ) as resp: if resp.status == 200: data = await resp.json() return data["choices"][0]["message"]["content"] else: return f"LLM-Analyse fehlgeschlagen (Status {resp.status})" async def run(self, interval: int = 60): """Hauptschleife: analysiert alle interval Sekunden""" while True: for exchange in ["binance", "coinbase", "kraken"]: anomalies = await self.detect_anomalies(exchange) if anomalies: context = { "total_metrics": await self.redis.dbsize(), "last_maintenance": "vor 3 Tagen" } llm_analysis = await self.analyze_with_llm(anomalies, context) # Speichere für Alerter alert_key = f"alerts:{exchange}:{int(datetime.utcnow().timestamp())}" await self.redis.set(alert_key, json.dumps({ "anomalies": anomalies, "llm_analysis": llm_analysis, "timestamp": datetime.utcnow().isoformat() }), ex=3600) print(f"[ALERT] {exchange}: {len(anomalies)} Anomalien erkannt") await asyncio.sleep(interval) if __name__ == "__main__": import os api_key = os.environ.get("HOLYSHEEP_API_KEY", "YOUR_HOLYSHEEP_API_KEY") detector = AnomalyDetector(holysheep_api_key=api_key) asyncio.run(detector.run(interval=60))

3. Alarmierungssystem mit Multi-Channel-Benachrichtigung

Erkannte Anomalien nützen nichts, wenn niemand sie sieht. Unser Alerter sendet Benachrichtigungen über Slack, Telegram, E-Mail und SMS – basierend auf der Schwere der Anomalie.

#!/usr/bin/env python3
"""
Multi-Channel Alerting System
Sendet Benachrichtigungen basierend auf Anomalie-Schweregrad
"""

import asyncio
import json
import smtplib
import httpx
from email.mime.text import MIMEText
from email.mime.multipart import MIMEMultipart
from datetime import datetime
from dataclasses import dataclass
from typing import List, Optional
import os

@dataclass
class Alert:
    exchange: str
    alert_type: str
    severity: str  # info, warning, critical
    title: str
    message: str
    data: dict
    timestamp: datetime

class AlertDispatcher:
    def __init__(self):
        # Slack Configuration
        self.slack_webhook = os.environ.get("SLACK_WEBHOOK_URL", "")
        self.slack_channel_critical = "#alerts-critical"
        self.slack_channel_warning = "#alerts-warning"
        
        # Telegram Configuration
        self.telegram_bot_token = os.environ.get("TELEGRAM_BOT_TOKEN", "")
        self.telegram_chat_id = os.environ.get("TELEGRAM_CHAT_ID", "")
        
        # Email Configuration
        self.smtp_server = os.environ.get("SMTP_SERVER", "smtp.gmail.com")
        self.smtp_port = int(os.environ.get("SMTP_PORT", "587"))
        self.smtp_user = os.environ.get("SMTP_USER", "")
        self.smtp_password = os.environ.get("SMTP_PASSWORD", "")
        self.alert_emails = os.environ.get("ALERT_EMAILS", "").split(",")
        
        # PagerDuty für kritische Alerts
        self.pagerduty_key = os.environ.get("PAGERDUTY_KEY", "")
        
        # Severity-Ebenen
        self.severity_config = {
            "critical": {"slack": True, "telegram": True, "email": True, "pagerduty": True, "sms": True},
            "warning": {"slack": True, "telegram": True, "email": False, "pagerduty": False, "sms": False},
            "info": {"slack": True, "telegram": False, "email": False, "pagerduty": False, "sms": False}
        }
    
    async def send_slack(self, alert: Alert, channel: str) -> bool:
        """Sendet Slack-Benachrichtigung"""
        if not self.slack_webhook:
            return False
        
        severity_emoji = {"critical": "🚨", "warning": "⚠️", "info": "ℹ️"}
        
        payload = {
            "channel": channel,
            "username": "Crypto API Monitor",
            "icon_emoji": severity_emoji.get(alert.severity, "ℹ️"),
            "attachments": [{
                "color": {"critical": "#ff0000", "warning": "#ffa500", "info": "#36a64f"}.get(alert.severity, "#36a64f"),
                "title": f"{severity_emoji.get(alert.severity, 'ℹ️')} {alert.title}",
                "text": alert.message,
                "fields": [
                    {"title": "Börse", "value": alert.exchange, "short": True},
                    {"title": "Typ", "value": alert.alert_type, "short": True},
                    {"title": "Zeit", "value": alert.timestamp.strftime("%Y-%m-%d %H:%M:%S UTC"), "short": True}
                ],
                "footer": "HolySheep AI Monitoring"
            }]
        }
        
        async with httpx.AsyncClient() as client:
            try:
                response = await client.post(self.slack_webhook, json=payload, timeout=10)
                return response.status_code == 200
            except Exception as e:
                print(f"Slack Fehler: {e}")
                return False
    
    async def send_telegram(self, alert: Alert) -> bool:
        """Sendet Telegram-Nachricht"""
        if not self.telegram_bot_token or not self.telegram_chat_id:
            return False
        
        severity_text = {"critical": "🔴 KRITISCH", "warning": "🟠 WARNUNG", "info": "🔵 INFO"}
        
        message = f"""
{severity_text.get(alert.severity, '🔵 INFO')}

📊 *{alert.title}*

{exchange}: {alert.exchange}
Type: {alert.alert_type}
Time: {alert.timestamp.strftime('%Y-%m-%d %H:%M:%S')} UTC

{alert.message}

_Generated by HolySheep AI Monitor_
"""
        
        url = f"https://api.telegram.org/bot{self.telegram_bot_token}/sendMessage"
        async with httpx.AsyncClient() as client:
            try:
                response = await client.post(url, json={
                    "chat_id": self.telegram_chat_id,
                    "text": message,
                    "parse_mode": "Markdown"
                }, timeout=10)
                return response.status_code == 200
            except Exception as e:
                print(f"Telegram Fehler: {e}")
                return False
    
    async def send_email(self, alert: Alert) -> bool:
        """Sendet E-Mail-Benachrichtigung"""
        if not self.smtp_user or not self.alert_emails:
            return False
        
        msg = MIMEMultipart("alternative")
        msg["Subject"] = f"[{alert.severity.upper()}] {alert.title}"
        msg["From"] = self.smtp_user
        
        html_content = f"""
        
        
            

{alert.title}

Börse {alert.exchange}
Typ {alert.alert_type}
Schwere {alert.severity}
Zeit {alert.timestamp.isoformat()}

Details:

{alert.message}


Generated by HolySheep AI Crypto Monitor

""" msg.attach(MIMEText(html_content, "html")) try: with smtplib.SMTP(self.smtp_server, self.smtp_port) as server: server.starttls() server.login(self.smtp_user, self.smtp_password) server.sendmail(self.smtp_user, self.alert_emails, msg.as_string()) return True except Exception as e: print(f"Email Fehler: {e}") return False async def send_pagerduty(self, alert: Alert) -> bool: """Triggert PagerDuty Incident für kritische Alerts""" if not self.pagerduty_key: return False payload = { "routing_key": self.pagerduty_key, "event_action": "trigger", "payload": { "summary": f"{alert.exchange}: {alert.title}", "severity": "critical" if alert.severity == "critical" else "warning", "source": "crypto-api-monitor", "custom_details": { "exchange": alert.exchange, "alert_type": alert.alert_type, "message": alert.message, "data": alert.data } } } async with httpx.AsyncClient() as client: try: response = await client.post( "https://events.pagerduty.com/v2/enqueue", json=payload, headers={"Content-Type": "application/json"}, timeout=10 ) return response.status_code == 202 except Exception as e: print(f"PagerDuty Fehler: {e}") return False async def dispatch(self, alert: Alert) -> dict: """Dispatcht Alert an alle konfigurierten Kanäle""" config = self.severity_config.get(alert.severity, self.severity_config["info"]) results = {} if config.get("slack"): channel = self.slack_channel_critical if alert.severity == "critical" else self.slack_channel_warning results["slack"] = await self.send_slack(alert, channel) if config.get("telegram"): results["telegram"] = await self.send_telegram(alert) if config.get("email"): results["email"] = await self.send_email(alert) if config.get("pagerduty"): results["pagerduty"] = await self.send_pagerduty(alert) return results class AlertManager: """Orchestriert Alert-Erkennung und -Versand""" def __init__(self): self.dispatcher = AlertDispatcher() async def process_alerts(self, redis_url: str = "redis://localhost:6379"): """Verarbeitet wartende Alerts aus Redis""" import redis.asyncio as redis r = redis.from_url(redis_url) async for key in r.scan_iter("alerts:*"): alert_data = await r.get(key) if not alert_data: continue data = json.loads(alert_data) anomalies = data.get("anomalies", []) for anomaly in anomalies: alert = Alert( exchange=anomaly["exchange"], alert_type=anomaly["type"], severity=anomaly["severity"], title=f"API-{anomaly['type'].replace('_', ' ').title()}", message=f"{anomaly['message']}\n\nLLM-Analyse:\n{data.get('llm_analysis', 'N/A')}", data=anomaly, timestamp=datetime.utcnow() ) results = await self.dispatcher.dispatch(alert) print(f"Alert dispatched: {results}") # Alert nach Verarbeitung löschen await r.delete(key) await r.aclose() async def run(self, interval: int = 30): """Prüft alle interval Sekunden auf neue Alerts""" while True: await self.process_alerts() await asyncio.sleep(interval) if __name__ == "__main__": manager = AlertManager() asyncio.run(manager.run(interval=30))

4. HolySheep AI: Intelligente Vorhersage und Pattern-Erkennung

Das HolySheep AI-System bietet entscheidende Vorteile für Ihr Monitoring: Unterstützung für DeepSeek V3.2 ($0.42/MToken) ermöglicht kostengünstige kontinuierliche Analyse, während GPT-4.1 für komplexe Vorhersagen genutzt werden kann. Mit <50ms Latenz und Zahlungsoptionen über WeChat und Alipay ist HolySheep ideal für chinesische Krypto-Trader.

#!/usr/bin/env python3
"""
Predictive Analytics mit HolySheep AI
Nutzt historische Daten, um Ausfälle vorherzusagen
"""

import asyncio
import json
import redis.asyncio as redis
from datetime import datetime, timedelta
from collections import defaultdict
import statistics

HOLYSHEEP_BASE_URL = "https://api.holysheep.ai/v1"

class PredictiveMonitor:
    """Vorhersage von API-Ausfällen basierend auf historischen Mustern"""
    
    def __init__(self, holysheep_api_key: str, redis_url: str = "redis://localhost:6379"):
        self.redis = redis.from_url(redis_url)
        self.api_key = holysheep_api_key
    
    async def get_aggregated_metrics(self, exchange: str, hours: int = 24) -> dict:
        """Aggregiert Metriken über Zeitfenster"""
        cutoff = datetime.utcnow() - timedelta(hours=hours)
        cutoff_ts = int(cutoff.timestamp())
        
        all_latencies = []
        error_count = 0
        total_count = 0
        hourly_buckets = defaultdict(list)
        
        async for key in self.redis.scan_iter(f"metrics:{exchange}:*"):
            ts = int(key.split(":")[-1])
            if ts >= cutoff_ts:
                data = await self.redis.lrange(key, 0, -1)
                for item in data:
                    m = json.loads(item)
                    all_latencies.append(m["latency_ms"])
                    if not m["success"]:
                        error_count += 1
                    total_count += 1
                    
                    hour_bucket = datetime.fromtimestamp(ts).strftime("%Y-%m-%d %H:00")
                    hourly_buckets[hour_bucket].append(m["latency_ms"])
        
        return {
            "exchange": exchange,
            "total_requests": total_count,
            "error_rate": error_count / total_count if total_count > 0 else 0,
            "latency_avg": statistics.mean(all_latencies) if all_latencies else 0,
            "latency_p95": sorted(all_latencies)[int(len(all_latencies) * 0.95)] if all_latencies else 0,
            "latency_p99": sorted(all_latencies)[int(len(all_latencies) * 0.99)] if all_latencies else 0,
            "hourly_patterns": dict(hourly_buckets),
            "analyzed_hours": hours
        }
    
    async def detect_trends(self, exchange: str) -> dict:
        """Erkennt Trends in den Metriken"""
        current = await self.get_aggregated_metrics(exchange, hours=1)
        last_24h = await self.get_aggregated_metrics(exchange, hours=24)
        
        latency_trend = "stable"
        if current["latency_avg"] > last_24h["latency_avg"] * 1.5:
            latency_trend = "increasing"
        elif current["latency_avg"] < last_24h["latency_avg"] * 0.7:
            latency_trend = "decreasing"
        
        error_trend = "stable"
        if current["error_rate"] > last_24h["error_rate"] * 2:
            error_trend = "worsening"
        elif current["error_rate"] < last_24h["error_rate"] * 0.5:
            error_trend = "improving"
        
        return {
            "latency_trend": latency_trend,
            "error_trend": error_trend,
            "current_latency": current["latency_avg"],
            "baseline_latency": last_24h["latency_avg"],
            "current_error_rate": current["error_rate"],
            "baseline_error_rate": last_24h["error_rate"]
        }
    
    async def predict_failures(self, exchange: str) -> str:
        """Nutzt HolySheep AI für prädiktive Analyse"""
        trends = await self.detect_trends(exchange)
        metrics = await self.get_aggregated_metrics(exchange, hours=24)
        
        prompt = f"""
Du bist ein Krypto-API-SRE-Experte. Analysiere folgende Metriken für {exchange}:

Trends:
- Latenz-Trend: {trends['latency_trend']}
- Fehler-Trend: {trends['error_trend']}
- Aktuelle Latenz: {trends['current_latency']:.1f}ms (Baseline: {trends['baseline_latency']:.1f}ms)
- Aktuelle Fehlerrate: {trends['current_error_rate']:.3f} (Baseline: {trends['baseline_error_rate']:.3f})

Historische Daten:
- Gesamt-Anfragen (24h): {metrics['total_requests']}
- P95-Latenz: {metrics['latency_p95']:.1f}ms
- P99-Latenz: {metrics['latency_p99']:.1f}ms

Hourly Patterns:
{json.dumps(metrics['hourly_patterns'], indent=2)}

Berechne:
1. Wahrscheinlichkeit eines Ausfalls in den nächsten 6 Stunden (0-100%)
2. Hauptursache basierend auf den Mustern
3. Konkrete Handlungsempfehlungen

Antworte im JSON-Format:
{{"failure_probability": 0-100, "primary_cause": "...", "recommendations": ["..."], "confidence": "high/medium/low"}}
"""
        
        import aiohttp
        async with aiohttp.ClientSession() as session:
            async with session.post(
                f"{HOLYSHEEP_BASE_URL}/chat/completions",
                headers={
                    "Authorization": f"Bearer {self.api_key}",
                    "Content-Type": "application/json"
                },
                json={
                    "model": "deepseek-v3.2",  # Kostengünstig für kontinuierliche Analyse
                    "messages": [{"role": "user", "content": prompt}],
                    "max_tokens": 400,
                    "temperature": 0.2
                }
            ) as resp:
                if resp.status == 200:
                    data = await resp.json()
                    return data["choices"][0]["message"]["content"]
                else:
                    error_text = await resp.text()
                    return json.dumps({
                        "failure_probability": 50,
                        "primary_cause": "Analyse nicht verfügbar",
                        "recommendations": ["Manuelle Prüfung empfohlen"],
                        "confidence": "low",
                        "error": error_text
                    })
    
    async def run_prediction_loop(self, interval: int = 300):
        """Vorhersage-Schleife: alle 5 Minuten"""
        while True:
            for exchange in ["binance", "coinbase", "kraken"]:
                prediction = await self.predict_failures(exchange)
                pred_data = json.loads(prediction)
                
                # Speichere Vorhersage
                pred_key = f"prediction:{exchange}:{int(datetime.utcnow().timestamp())}"
                await self.redis.set(pred_key, json.dumps({
                    "prediction": pred_data,
                    "timestamp": datetime.utcnow().isoformat()
                }), ex=7200)
                
                # Bei hoher Ausfallwahrscheinlichkeit: proaktiver Alert
                if pred_data.get("failure_probability", 0) > 70:
                    alert_key = f"alerts:{exchange}:{int(datetime.utcnow().timestamp())}"
                    await self.redis.set(alert_key, json.dumps({
                        "anomalies": [{
                            "type": "predicted_failure",
                            "severity": "warning",
                            "exchange": exchange,
                            "endpoint": "